The IMF checked the clock on tokenized stock trading and found that more than half of it happens when the US market is closed. The market is small: about $2.3 billion of tokenized equities as of July 31, 2026, according to the IMF's October Global Financial Stability Report, which also finds these tokens roughly 1.5 times as volatile as the shares they mirror and far less liquid. The hours matter more than the size. People trade these tokens in the evening, overnight and at weekends, because the token keeps trading after the exchange it mirrors has closed.

What the IMF Measured

The IMF studied a year of trading in the five most active tokenized US stocks, Tesla, Nvidia and Alphabet among them, across 11 venues. About 80% of trades were for less than one share. More than 85% of overnight price moves showed up in the regular shares within five minutes of the US open. The IMF reads this as demand for round-the-clock access and for small positions, on infrastructure that has not caught up on liquidity, price stability or investor protection.

That is a finding about trading. It says people want to hold and move a claim on a company on their own schedule. It does not say what else those holders want from the claim. That second question is where this post goes, and it is a hypothesis, not something the IMF data shows.

A Second Venue Under the SEC Exemption, and a $500 Million Private Plan

Two more announcements landed in the same week. Perpetuals.com, a Nasdaq-listed firm whose chief executive, Patrick Gruhn, once ran FTX Europe, published a notice on October 14 that it intends to run a tokenized US stock venue under the SEC's innovation exemption. It is the second firm to do so, after OKX and ICE's joint venture. The notice starts a 30-day wait, so trading could open in mid-November at the earliest. For now it is a filing, not a live venue.

On the private side, L2 Capital, a Hong Kong technology investment firm, signed on as the founding partner of a tokenization platform that Newton Labs is still building. The target is $500 million of stakes in pre-IPO AI and late-stage technology companies within 24 months of launch, open to eligible institutional and professional investors. Newton's platform is designed to check each supported transfer, loan or other action against the fund manager's rules before it settles, in any application the manager permits, and to record each decision on-chain. Lock-ups, holding limits and permitted chains and apps would be written into the policy, and eligible investors could borrow against their positions in approved DeFi lending markets.

Put the two together and you get the same arc at two stages: a private stake becoming portable before an IPO, and a public stock already portable enough to trade while the exchange is dark.

The Compliance Traveled. The Storefront Stayed Shut.

Newton's design goes a long way. The rules are meant to follow the holding into trades, loans and other permitted applications. What it is built for is financial use: between eligible investors, in approved markets. Neither announcement covers a business outside finance deciding that the holding means something to it, whether that is a hotel, a dealership or a shop.

That is not a gap in what Newton or Perpetuals set out to build. A venue checks eligibility before a trade, the same pattern we described when we looked at how a tokenized securities venue checks a wallet before every trade. Recognition at the counter is a different checkpoint, run by a different business, for a different reason. That checkpoint runs today. The businesses these holders walk into have not switched it on yet.

What a Hotel or a Dealership Could Do With a Share

The simplest case is a company rewarding its own shareholders. A hotel group whose shares trade as tokens on Perpetuals or a venue like it could give any guest holding a position a better rate at check-in. A car dealership could take something off a service package for customers who hold the carmaker's stock. Neither needs a points program. The perk is set at the desk, against a holding the customer already has. Private stakes work the same way for a smaller audience: a company whose pre-IPO shares sit in a pool like L2's could invite its holders to an early product preview.

Whether holders want this is the open question, and finding out is cheap: one business, one holding, one benefit, and a count of who walks in.

What the Holder Gets, What the Business Gets

For the holder, the reasons to own the stock stay the same: the price, and whatever dividends or voting rights the token's structure carries. A perk at the counter adds one more use for something they already own.

For the business, a shareholder list is a list of people who already chose the company, the same insight behind turning Republic and StartEngine investors into customers. A business does not need the issuer's permission to recognize those holders. It needs a way to read a wallet at the counter and decide, on its own terms, what the holding is worth: a tier, a credit, a shorter queue.

InsumerAPI reads the wallet, evaluates the condition the business set, and signs the result: met or not met, with no balance exposed. At the counter, Skye Meta, a separate company that builds on InsumerAPI, runs the scanner: staff point a phone or tablet the store already owns at the customer's pass and see whether the holding is recognized and what discount it earns, without ever seeing the wallet. Compare that with buying ads to find the same people. The ad buys a maybe. The scan confirms a yes that walked in on its own. Where the holder keeps the token in a wallet they control, on a chain InsumerAPI reads, none of it requires Perpetuals, L2 Capital or Newton Labs to build anything new. A token held for the customer inside a platform account is not in a wallet the counter can read.

What to Do Next

If you run a business whose customers may hold your stock, or another company's, as a token, run the experiment: one holding, one threshold, one benefit, then measure who uses it. See how a merchant sets this up. If you build trading or tokenization infrastructure, yours addresses eligibility and transfer restrictions; the counter sits past it and can read the same holdings. If you are a developer wiring this into checkout or agent commerce, the mechanism is documented at /developers/commerce/, and the longer argument for why recognition is the layer the market has not switched on lives at /thesis/.

Condition-based access across 37 chains

InsumerAPI: evaluate wallet conditions, get a signed result. No secrets. No identity. Free tier available.

View API Docs

Get every post by email

The Inevitable series and builder notes on condition-based access. Free, one or two posts a week.